At the latest FOMC meeting on January 31st, Jerome Powell stated, 'The Fed is not ready to start cutting,' which immediately caused the yield to pivot higher. During an recent interview on Sunday, February 4th, he reiterated that the US central bank is not yet prepared to cut interest rates, resulting in another increase in the yield. Today, we will discuss the...
Hi everyone, quite a great day yesterday as FEDS hike 0,25% and Jerome switches tone to more 'dovish' and worried. From cowboy Jerome 'i will hike you to death' to ' let's take it easier'. Charts never lie and this level lost by Dollar was key for our trading yesterday: Same with Gold and Silver entries: Watch the video, it explains how Powell...
After breaking 12 EMA 15min time frame yesterday bears have been suing it for full control underneath it. - at this price point SPY retraced over 60% QQQ retraced 50%. Burden is on the bulls to step up here. Bear still comfortable - if QQQ start dropping more than 50% retracement everything will start favoring the bears - Jerome Powell spoke today and now...
With inflationary expectations low, a decrease in CPI and Core CPI, a likely slowing in interest rate hikes, there's too much positive news in the short term to ignore the likelihood of a near-term rally. Still, some hinges on Jerome Powell's outlook tomorrow, but I expect him to keep language as soft as his last speech. Last month, he was still very domineering...
As long as inflationary expectations remained low after Jerome's last speech where he spoke about softening the increase in interest rates, which may or may not be the case, there is a good chance that inflation ticks down. This would confirm a 50bp hike for December, easing monetary policy and providing room for equities to continue their rally. While I think a...
In this video I breakdown some headlines to look out for that should move the oil market one way or the other. I also run through the USD situation right now and explain how that could create moves in the oil market. Then I run through the chart to show you what I'm looking for to enter a trade.
The dollar has hit it's target up. What does this mean for the markets? Where do we go from here? What will JPOW do with interest rates? Will the FED use the conflicts in Ukraine as an excuse NOT to raise rates 3 times? Let's talk about this.
Now that the Federal Reserve seems committed to raising interest rates in response to inflation (something that they denied was a problem during 2021) we're going to see a shift in the way money is talked about in the near future. What does this mean for crypto, and the greater economy, overall? - The US growth and assets markets have been driven strongly by the...