Continuation trading this pair with simplicity. Once we see a break of the 1.0372 zone we would expect bearish momentum before we see any instituaional market recoveries.
if price goes below previuos HH(where bearish momstarted, look for short term LL and break of res) Current pos: formed a HL - break of decending trend look for structure change, enter on HL - ride t othe Highs of HH and maybe to break because on Weekly, its above structual retest area so could go long like a lot.
Current risk off sentiment in the market is keeping JPY bid across the board with USDJPY breaking below 112 eventhough touch choppy and indecisive around trendline support and horizontal support. It feels like the near term future for risk sentiment depends on the 112 handle for usdjpy.
As for Cad, weakening and breaking out on the usdcad chart so were seeing jpy...
Recently seen risk aversion in the market with US equities almost 9% off the recent peak (SP), US 10 year yields off the highs from 3.25% as low as 3.11% where there is near term support, Traditional high yielding FX (AUD lower, NZD lower, EUR lower, GBP lower), WTI crude 14% off recent peak and safe haven flows lifting JPY, gold, silver and US bonds.
We're now...
Much like gold, silver has been beaten down but has now broken the multi month downwards sloping trend line. Market now building a congestion zone and hasnt broken out like gold has... have to wait and see what happens, but a break of the $15 handle is key for silver then look to get long a pullback and trade the market up to $15.50 - $15.60 for 4.5 to 1 returns...
