The great depression VS today's market structure! - trying to find synergies between both timeline's The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1926-1933: An Applied Time Series Investigation I found this interesting how it aligns with today's market...
In 1930, when the Fed cut interest rates, the market crashed further. In today's tutorial, we will be comparing the 30s and today’s market to identify some of their similarities. Where exactly are interest rates’ direction pointing us? As we may have read, many analysts are forecasting that there will be a few rate cuts in 2024. Is this the best option? My work...
Green Wave 4 may turn into the Orange Wave 4 based on Elliot Wave Theory. The Wave 4 FIB shows a potential target of 2.618FIB ($50k - $54k) 2.618FIB EXIT POINT: $50k - $54k The ORANGE 1929 CRASH Measured Move for Green Wave 5 is $54k. 2024/2025: Market Top 2030: Market Low / Great Reset / The Fourth Turning Lets see how this narrative plays out. See you in...
I have broken it into 2 parts. Part 1 – we can associate it with the sequence then. Part 2 – we can take reference as the situation unfolds. Part 1 - 1929 sequence that seems familiar today: a) Crisis triggered by several factors b) Stocks rose rapidly c) Chain reaction of events d) Bank had invested heavily e) Bank failed Part 2 - As it continued in...
The story of 1929 - The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression that lasted from 1929 to the late 1930s. There were several factors that contributed to the trigger of the Great Depression, but the key trigger is often attributed to the stock market crash of 1929. In the 1920s, there was a period of economic growth and prosperity in the United...
It is helpful to view past recession trajectories to get a visual idea of where we are at the moment. I chose the recessions which were most relevant to today's market conditions. The 01 (purple) and 08-09 (dark blue) recessions were the first "modern" recessions where MMT was being implemented and tech made up a significant chunk of the market. The 70 (reddish...
On one hand there isn't necessarily a reason to expect a meltdown similar to the pace of NFLX or META or more latterly TSLA; but on the other hand, thanks to how much extra data there is, it's possible for the trained and experienced eye to suppose a long term downtrend will rhyme with its own history (see the linked AMD chart which goes back even farther)
As suspected in the linked / related post the higher orange channel didn't hold and what looks like a textbooky head-and-shoulders top has formed; a continued downtrend will likely respect the yellow traffic lines pictured just like the uptrend did
I wouldn't be surprised if a major geopolitical event is used to take the blame or worry away from people being down 80% off of their pension funds. Doesn't matter if it's engineered or not, as long as the event is present. It could come in weeks, but it's a throw-in-the-dart and a take from what I see happening the past few months. Be sure to hug your friends...
If AAPL continues downward after another double whammy support wrap-around it could well trigger a collapse to 10k for Nasdaq 100 especially if TSLA goes with it; many are likely to fall for this thinking that up is the direction which makes sense but charts which spent a few years going up for "no reason" can also spend a few years going down for "no reason"
The strong bounce on a confluence of supports--plus the usual "but we've only seen the beginning of the bear market lol" articles--would strongly suggest that the yellow brick inflation road will continue (see both related ideas) and that recent market activity is another ploy to keep retail anxious / confused / short (valid for as long as the highlighted supports hold)
Without worsening geopolitical fundamentals and VIX surging back above the half way line (see linked idea) what will hindsightfully be the re-accumulation zone is likely to form here
Similarly to the linked AMD broadening symmetrical this toppy-looking wedge with exceptionally clearly-defined levels ought to show that there could be a long way down still in a multi-year bear market and that buying levels on this particular chart could be where all time lows on the weekly RSI would later be created
$SPY is going for a double top before crashing down to low 200's in the "Great Reset" lasting to 2030. Much like China's "Great Leap Forward" which was one of the largest disasters in history, after which a huge economic advancement was made for several decades. Following the "Great Reset" the United States will enter a period of massive prosperity where...
Dow Jones industrial average index has lost its February 2020 support. As this support did not hold i am convinced that the oldest US index has begun the great depression, not recession but depression. You can already see what fiat pairs with the USD are doing. The run up was just phenomenal to say the least. We've been essentially parabolic since 2009, with the...
I found this weeks ago and you should be scary where the world is going. SUPPLY AND DEMAND!
Presented as neutral once more as the monthly candle still has a week to close; this flat broadening wedge goes back almost 40 years and a "crisis" tends to be right around the corner whenever it finds resistance so expect very clean reversal market structure here should that trend continue and clear signs of supports refusing to break properly if this century's...
This chart is presented as neutral since the implied "idea" can't come into play till at least one key support properly breaks and worst case till the yellow channel has become relevant again like before; if this were to play out the main "challenge" would be: how to keep retail long all the way down? (hint: the same supposedly unrelated "people" who "shorted"...