1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) EURNZD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.5%, hence there is a implied 99.5% chance of reversal on the daily.
2. Also we see the Z-Score for, Monthly, 3m and 2wk all above 1SD.
3. Fundamentally I also like being long EUR given the ECBs new more neutral...
Be careful of the volatile news affecting the dollar but anyway the downtrend is coming to an end and us seeing bullush momentum when price reaches 1.51 level it will jump. Price is well belo wboth EMA's and stoch is oversold.