I think this is the most important macro trend to pay attention to in our economic history, I see many 1930 comparisons with 2023 saying we are at the "1931" collapse point but all economic data is pointing that we are most likely at the 1927-1928 stage and crazy enough when you compare the macro trends they make the same giant symmetrical wedge pattern. Now...
Dow Jones held the MA50 (4h) today after the initial NFP decline. This keeps the Channel Up intact on its upper layers, aiming for a new Higher High. Trading Plan: 1. Buy as long as the MA50 (4h) holds. 2. Sell if it breaks. Targets: 1. 37000 (Fibonacci 1.78 extension, like the Nov 15th Higher High). 2. 35700 (bottom of Channel Up). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h)...
DJ:DJI is fighting to stay above, hang around resistance. NASDAQ:NDX came back & fighting to chug higher as well. VERY IMPORTANT AREA for $SPX!!!!!!! Strength has subsided but it's not down yet. Could AMEX:SPY retest the highs? TVC:VIX is holding but doesn't look fully awake. Hmmm... #stocks AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
Every chart describes a story. Inflation can be tracked using producer-prices and consumer-prices. Equities are affected by consumer inflation, while commodities by producer inflation. Many of the worlds largest companies are selling services, not commodities. The ratio of the two on the chart above, shows that long-term production cost of commodities is...
In the continuation of the previous analysis scenario, we see the completion of the waves of the diagonal ending pattern. After completing this corrective pattern, I expect the price to drop.
AMEX:DIA chart anaylsis/mapping. DIA ETF on relative strength compared to recent SPY/QQQ performance, indicating potential market rotation. Trading scenarios: Continuation rally #1 = top range of Fib. Shallow pullback #1 = ascending trend-line (white) / ascending trend-line (green dashed) / gap fill confluence zone. Shallow pullback #2 = gap fills /...
Seems, clear to me the obvious answer is YES! So let's cheer on #STONKS cracking 5,000 on the #S&P As we would likely see risk be fully turned on, and cash to flow into the #Crypto space. FWIW I think the #Economy stinks but that doesn't necessarily mean assets can't go up in number. There are plenty of examples where this is the case. Argentina. Turkey...
On the flip side... DJ:DJI is pumping today & leading. The industrial is at a major resistance level & pushing through, for the moment at least. AMEX:DIA hasn't been able to trade above this area for almost 2 years! How will it handle it this time? Weekly RSI hasn't been much higher than current level since mid 2021. #stocks AMEX:UDOW AMEX:SDOW
It looks like the DOW is getting ready to fall within the next few days ...let's see
Dear colleagues, I decided to update the idea. In principle, there are practically no changes. I believe that the price may retrace the high of 35250 again, completing wave 5. Then I still expect the price to decline. The nearest target is the support area 34200. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
General Major Market Indices These six market indices give a very good snapshot of where we are in this difficult to discern market and why uncertainty still lingers as we continue to climb a wall of worry. The Chart ▫️ Every index 1 - 6 below has been rejected or is struggling to make new highs on the weekly timeframe. ▫️ At the same time each chart...
Dow Jones is extending the rally since the October 27th bottom, which was a HL of the dominant Channel Up pattern. The 1D technical outlook is overbought (RSI = 71.474, MACD = 390.490, ADX = 67.776) but the difference maker on the technical field is the CCI metric. Being also overbought over 100.00, it is showing a Bearish Divergence, which was present on the last...
-- Prologue -- Crises don't come when everybody expects them to. I have said this over and over again, for the last year I've been in this platform. I don't take it back. Finding out the kind of crisis that will come, the time and the severity, is hard. Trading, investing, living, is hard... Some have called me schizophrenic. This is funny. When you say what...
Prices never lie. Price is everything. Time however always lies. That's "Theory of Relativity 101". Time stretches and narrows based on boredom, psychology, speed. By taking time out of the equation we transform a news piece into a literature book. Timeless charts are the past, the present and the future. They don't expire. Unlike candles with specific expiration...
Bitcooooooins... UP! In the recent history, we have had two perma-bull trade-ables, NDQ and Bitcoin. No-one in their real mind would dare to short these 2 years ago... So what if, we could compare these two bulls? Who will survive in the years to come? Who is the record keeper? The answer is NOT as simple as it might seem. Read until the end to find out... 2022...
The scale of what is happening cannot be understated. Massive amounts of money have been printed, then burned immediately. It is as if the FED is trolling us... Or we are being trolled by our own minds. Equities reflect the mental state of investors, big and small alike. The dilemma is causing headaches, it has reached a paradoxical state. No human, not even...
New update. It seems like markets have found themselves face to face with reality. The bear market rally seems to have run out of steam due to the amounting economic and inflationary data. Simply put, I do not think markets can rally from here, based on: RSI overbought on 1W MACD Crossed on 1W Food prices are at 18 moth highs according to UN. Fuel...