Currently short USDJPY as the risk off scenario looks to continue with geo-political tensions growing between the US and North Korea we are seeing safe haven currencies and commodities appreciating.
Watching the 1HR charts we can see that price has respected the dynamic resistance of the 20EMA and created a C2 close off a 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
Resistance became support at $206
and ETH is still bullish.
It has every chance to get to $514, but
in this market, fortune only favours the brave,
and sometimes they get wiped out.
.On the weekly, chart there's a symmetrical triangle, and it's in a downtrend.
It has 6 touches, 3 on either side.
If it goes to plan, the pair should fall lower and break out,
as this is a continuation pattern and not a reversal.
The asset will have hit the 100 MA so in the short-term will most likely fall, or it could actually break 100 MA, which will make it a definite buy, but till then it will mostly fall then reach support and then rise to hit trendline- swing trade.
The movement made so far, I called 3 days ago which was the strong bearish movement retracing of the .618 resistance. I believe it will bounce of 0.5 fib support to form a head and shoulders pattern eventually creating a bullish movement till daily resistance. I am now waiting to go long.
The EUR/USD seems to be in a bit of a pickle, there was a false breakout represented by the ABCD shape, but there seems to be a reason behind that as the Coppock curve shows that it provided past support for that decline, so I would ignore the false breakout. But, the currency pair has reached a crucial resistance point, this is also represented by the 100 EMA, ...
USDCHF looks to be at an interesting point to me. I'm thinking of going long at 1.0216 (entry would be just above a resistance level at 1.0211, if it manages to break it) with TP at 1.0299 (another longer term resistance level) and a SL at the point I think I would be wrong, which to me is into the body of the last daily candle. At about a half of the ATR on the ...
