I can't predict the future, unlike many of my fellow traders. However, I know a bad weather setup when I see one. Have a look/listen.
I don't like what I see. I see storm clouds gathering. I see delusional pumping of a market. I see a deep disconnect between reality and sentiment. I see momentum falling off.
But make no mistake - I do not underestimate the...
Simply supply and demand zone technique used. The blue horizontal lines are where there is a nice overlap of the optimal entry on my Fib. I will personally be putting in my orders at these levels and scaling them as they go down. Please note it may not reach any of zones especially the deeper/lower ones. A market crash is imminent so this should price levels to...
This is not a prediction. I don't do predictions. The setup is only a probabilistic estimate based on a reckless disconnect between market sentiment and fundamental reality. It's probably the most reckless in history.
For every probability estimate in one direction - NOTE CAREFULLY - that there is a residual probability in the opposite direction. So if for...
So it has been reported that
What can drive the stock down
EasyJet also revealed that it expects to report a pre-tax loss between £360m and £380m for the first half of its financial year. The airline will incur significant fuel costs because it has already bought jet fuel for its planes, with no certainty of when they will fly again.
EasyJet grounded its...
We have just experienced the largest market sell-off in history, just few weeks ago it was difficult to see where price would find some support - especially when market circuit breakers where triggering left, right and centre. As we're in the midst of the largest global health/economic crisis for at least the past 100 years, its clear the aftermath ripples of...
In this screencast I show that based on the technical picture and using some fundamental concepts, that heavy down side is likely in the next 3 to 6 months. The degree of momentum south is so heavy that I can expect it to move further south on this time frame.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no...
The DJI has reacted in panic mode for many days. It is at this stage relatively oversold on a 2H time frame (only). In this screencast, I show a 'theory of curves' situation which possibly shows a 55% probability north.
Please NOTE carefully that this leaves a 45% probability for the south. Probability estimates base on technical indicators are not...
I can't find a spot of good news over this weekend - or one that would make a sound difference to economies (on a longer term basis). I'm expecting (not predicting) panic on Monday/Tuesday. The markets are NOT economies. They represent confidence in economies - similar to bond markets.
Seriously - it's almost all bad news out there - and the algos will be...
In this screencast I explore some interesting features in the 1D and 3D time frames.
There is a very rare VHC on the Aroons on the 3D time frame. This has not happened at least since 2008! It usually means business.
Have a look.
As usual your loses are your own.
Oh well - only about 5000 points of a massive drop in just over 1 week. People are asking, " Has the bubble popped? ".
I go into this in some detail. I think we're at the start of the POP.
This thing is serious though.
I'd like to hear from others if they think this is going back up and to the moon.
I previously told people to get ready! Some weren't ready.
The market seems to have selected a 30 min ATR trend line pattern to follow south. How far it will go - nobody knows. This is the essence of trend following i.e. NO TARGETS. This is hard work!
I explain some of the price action on this chart and show an amazing 15 min trend.
The melt down has been caused by fears about the COVID-19 virus.
This is the biggest 3 day dump on the DJI is about 3 years. I explain how serious it is.
Get ready! There are only two directions for price; UP or DOWN. In this screencast I show why the zone around 29000 could be the most important. See the broadening wedge. Price could go either way.
If you believe that the FED and Mr Trump is gonna save the world, go long at 29000. If you believe a crash is coming take a short. If you believe 29 is a prime number...