Unusual volume spotted on COTUSDT. Circulating supply now is 394M coins. This week's volume is 100M coins, 33M of which was traded on the move up in 4h. Probably coin will be listed somewhere. I will put this idea here to come back in future and check what was the reason of such a move.
West Texas Crude Oil Long Price has come back up to the important psychological level of 79.000. We can see that previously this area has acted as strong resistance and support. In August last year we saw price find support here before continuing upwards. Since November last year we have seen it act as an area of resistance. On last weeks close we had price...
Current Corn Short Entered originally, and admittedly prematurely, when we saw price touch the 61.8% fib retracement level. Entered a short position last month as price has been steadily falling since June last year. The falling price of corn is being caused by simply an overabundance of supply, and a lack of increased demand. On the supply side, we have...
AUDUSD Short Late/Re-entry Price has come back down to the last swing low/base made before what was essentially a two week bull run. We have broken past this area and come back to retest it. When price came back to retest this key zone, we saw it touch the 61.8% fib retracement level. Non-Commercial traders, as can be seen through COT filings, are a majority...
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The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Commitments of Traders (COT) report for the week ending November 14, 2023, shows that there are signs of weakness for the British pound (GBP). Non-commercial traders, which are typically hedge funds and other large institutional investors, reduced their long positions in GBPZAR by 4,735 contracts. This was the largest weekly...
Get Ready for pound to take a shit throughout AUGUST... The Launch happened today........ The sentiment is mixed, but the commercials are loading up according to latest COT report, Also if you have a look at Seasonality AUGUST historically is the worst month for anything against the dollar...
USD/JPY has delivered a decent trend for bulls so far this year, having risen 14% since the January low. Yet we have been fully aware that net-short exposure to yen futures has approached a historical extreme as USD/JPT prices rose towards 145. Incidentally, 145 was the upper range of the liquidity gap we mentioned in a previous article which has now been...
Commitments of Traders (COT) report for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of June 13, 2023. Here's a breakdown of the data: Bitcoin Futures (Code-133741): Total Open Interest: 13,251 contracts Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Long Positions: 10,086 contracts Short Positions: 9,343 contracts Spreading Positions: 1,875...
Micro Bitcoin. Let's analyze the data. For Bitcoin (Futures Only) on June 6, 2023: The total open interest is 13,026 contracts. Non-commercial traders (speculators) hold a net long position of 10,106 contracts, compared to 9,337 contracts in the previous report. Commercial traders hold a net short position of 1,383 contracts, compared to 1,561 contracts...
In this video I take a look at 4 major pairs vs the USD, and a concept known as SMT Divergence, authored by ICT. The theory behind this being, that by comparing structure from similar periods, we can see which pairs "Smart Money" is accumulating. I've also briefly touched on "Net Positioning" of Leveraged Money (ie "Smart Money") based on today's newly released...
Based on the COT report data, the changes in commercial positions are as follows: Long positions: Increased by 83 contracts Short positions: Decreased by 538 contracts To calculate the net positions, you subtract the short positions from the long positions. In this case, the net positions for commercials can be calculated as follows: Net positions = Long...
Based on the provided data from the CFTC's COT report for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of May 23, 2023, here is a detailed summary: Bitcoin Futures: Total open interest: 13,043 contracts Non-commercial traders: Long positions: 10,124 contracts Short positions: 9,231 contracts Spreading positions: 1,544 contracts Commercial...
Whilst this year's 'rally' on the S&P 500 has been mediocre at best, the increase in net-short exposure to S&P futures has been impressive. As of last Tuesday, large speculators pushed their net-short exposure to the futures contract to their most bearish level since late 2007. Yet with prices rising whilst speculators increase bearish exposure, there is a clear...
The COT Report (Commitments of Traders Report) is a weekly report released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that shows the aggregate holdings of different market participants in the futures market. Looking at the COT report for Bitcoin futures on the CME, we can see that as of May 16, 2023, non-commercial traders (speculators) held a net long...
Here are the net short positions held by the commercials in Bitcoin futures markets for the given period: April 11th: Net short position of 969 contracts April 18th: Net short position of 1,181 contracts April 25th: Net short position of 1,500 contracts May 3rd: Net short position of 1,424 contracts During this period, the net short positions held by...
On April 11th, 2023, the COT report indicated a significant increase in the number of futures contracts held by large speculators, which indicated a bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin in the futures markets. The net long positions held by large speculators increased by 5,000 contracts from the previous week, and the net long positions held by small speculators...
What's happening? 1. -363.3K CFTC S&P 500 spec. net positions(highest in years, on October 2008 it was -365,697) 2. VIX 15.77 (52-week low) 3. DXY 101.672 (near 52week-low) 4. 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y3M)-1.66 (lowest ever) 5. AAII sentiment 4/26/2023 Bullish 24.1% Neutral 37.4% Bearish 38.5% 6. BTC = +76%...