OANDA:XAUUSD, FX:XAUUSD, FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Monthly: The reverse head & shoulders formation has finally broken the neckline.
Daily: Previous reistance levels should now act as support including 1392, 1375 & 1367
Sell XAUUSD in front of $1375 & $1366
Stop loss at $1347
'Everybody' - well nearly everybody - has forgotten about Silver. Warren Buffet hasn't. Look, why are the big boys always ahead of the rest of the markets? Think!
In the screencast, I show how Silver is apparently itching for a breakout - in a similar way to Gold. If Gold pops above 1400 and stays above, expect big moves on Silver.
There are only three kinds...
US OIL has been in a 2 Hour trend south. The position is still ripe for shorting but only with acceptable risk management and controls. There is a very deceptive RSI hogging the trenches which will be scary. I show how even in a bear market it's possible to exploit going long. In other words if you know what you're doing there's money to be made both ways. No...
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1400 (stop at 1407)
The medium term bias remains bullish.
With our medium term bias looking to buy dips and the short term bias indicating selling interest we are faced with mixed signals.
Selling posted in Asia.
Expect trading to remain mixed and...
Oil has taken a a more decisive turn. I focus on the 4H time frame review other time frames briefly.
My methodology is transparent and reproducible by everybody. I explain in this screen cast how I limit to what extent the market proves me wrong, but at the same time capitalise on when the market says I'm right in my probability estimates.
This is an update on Gold with a new curve showing probability broadly for the north. See my previous video on a smaller curve.
The Theory of Curves is based on exploiting patterns in Chaos. Read up on Chaos Theory. The markets are pure chaos so it is every proper trader's business to know about it.
In this screencast I show two charts where crashes could happen. I focus on Wall Street which - affects markets globally including forex markets.
On the weekly time frame US Oil is beginning to struggle at a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Wall Street is possibly struggling at an important structure level. A whole lot depends on China. But dig deeper. See the CSI300...
Right - so you wanna make money in these markets. All I can say is that these are dangerous times. This is certainly not 'The Big Short' any longer. I call it the big fudge. Now we're not allowed to say who exactly is doing the big fudge - cuz it'll probably break a whole bunch of laws and policies. But it's not illegal or wrong to point to a big fudge. Like it or...
In this two-pane chart, I show an anomaly in Gold price i.e. it is disconnecting more visibly in the last few days. Yes, this sometimes happens for no obvious reason. But in the context of a major push south on stockmarkets in the last 48 hours, it could be significant.
The other problem is that the US Dollar is heading into a level of cross-header resistance in...
Gold has had a good run north on the daily time frame and is coming into a powerful zone of congestion. It's not looking great for going long on the 1D now. There are opportunities for shorting on lower time frames but those do not look too good either. Possibly - just possibly - there may be more profit taking on this around this time. I'd be cautious with this one.
I've been stalking coffee in the background from many weeks. It's looking pretty ripe about now for taking a controlled loss (aka stop-loss). When coffee moves, it really moves. This is a longer time frame trade, which I do not usually get involved in - but it's probably time for me to get involved in one or two of these.
This is a short take on Silver which looks like it is about to break north through a zone of resistance. I'm waiting for a a better signal but I'm getting prepared. There could be a serious bull run on this, as everybody will be watching for the same break.
I was long on UKOIL on a lower time frame, as there were early indications that it could be heading north. My trend following assessments then changed, as the picture unfolded. I decided to bail out just in time for no loss.
I don't care if it now jumps north. At this point in time - based on what I see - I now think the probability for the daily time frame is...
Nobody or very few people have been looking at Silver. Why? Everybody is distracted by Bitcoin and GBP pairs at the moment.
In the screencast I show that Silver is ripe for a controlled loss. Oops.. nobody wants to hear about losses - right?
I'm stalking this one carefully - having been distracted and missed Palladium.
Silver is pretty cheap at the moment....
This is a short screencast showing an excellent entry position. (this is not advice to enter a trade).
The gold market is holding it's breath I think. Keep in mind that generally Gold has an inverse correlation with Stock Markets in troubled times. I suspect that people are watching for a Halloween Effect, or something with the Stock Markets - so they're...