On the 6th of each month Bitcoin clearly strongly reacting and starting new trend.
In my personal opinion we just started a BULLRUN.
Time will tell but I am very bullish on it.
Stay focus and pay attention to load your bags guys.
Best case scenario is 4.8k, expected direction 3.3k, bearish scenario 3 digits. ETA either summer or multiple year(s).
BTC vs USD Index (still in a bubble)
Artificial pumps on margin won't cut it, roughly +~100 real btc from joe fomo and traders won't push it to 12k.
So, the kingly discipline in bitcoin, aside from estimating WHEN a rally might start, is of course predicting the top of the rally.
I should add that I think it is utterly improbably to predict anything at all with a high certainty in bitcoin, since bitcoin is so young and we don't have enough data. But I'll try anyway :)
I looked at the previous rallies and ...