The analysis on gold presents a complex picture influenced by various factors. Initially, the precious metal recorded a significant loss, exceeding 2% during the day and dropping below $2,340. This decrease was primarily attributed to the easing geopolitical tensions, which prompted a deep correction in the XAU/USD market. Additionally, the resilience of US...
Commercial real estate "..talk of black swans of an economic nature forcing the Fed to print trillions again. Commercial real estate may be the next domino to fall. Back in 2008, default rates rose to 9%, up from 1%, as interest rates rose. Today, the damage to commercial real estate loans which total about $2.7 trillion could be far greater. Over 40% of the US...
EUR/USD has shown a significant upward trend, surpassing the key level of 1.0650. This upward movement was primarily driven by a shift in risk sentiment, with investors moving away from safe-haven assets, thereby weakening the US Dollar. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart indicated a recovery towards the 50 level, signaling a reduction in...
The financial markets of 2024 have witnessed a surprising resurgence: the unwavering strength of the US dollar. After predictions of a decline at the year's outset, the greenback has defied expectations, surging over 4% according to the Bloomberg dollar index. This unexpected power play by the dollar serves as a stark wake-up call for investors around the globe,...
AUD/USD rises after its 2024 lows as the greenback’s strength deflates, eying the pivotal EMA200 and daily closes above it would shift bias to the upside. However, such outcome has high degree of difficulty technically. The EMA200 can contain the rebound and sustain the bearish bias, which would keep the Aussie exposed to the 2023 lows (0.6269). The hawkish...
Is BOJ's Intervention Hiding Behind Inflation Data? Japanese inflation data is scheduled for release on Thursday, but its impact on the market might be subdued. Investors could prefer to pay attention to next week's quarterly growth and price forecasts from the Bank of Japan, which could be the real market movers. According to sources cited by Reuters, the...
Since the U.S. inflation data last Wednesday, the EUR/USD has depreciated for four consecutive days, falling by 2.42%. Tensions in the Middle East and a strong U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) have contributed to this decline, which may be finding a potential buying zone. The pair is currently trading around 1.063 at the time of writing this article. The direction of...
Nice little inverse head and shoulders Yep! #Inflation is sticky & persistent High prices for goods & cost of living not only to remain high but if the #fEd starts dropping rates expect another spike up
Detailed Analysis on USD/JPY Recent Market Dynamics The Japanese Yen has recently attracted some buyers and recovered a portion of the losses incurred after Wednesday's US CPI release. Concerns about potential intervention by Japanese authorities, coupled with a weaker risk tone, have supported the JPY and exerted pressure on USD/JPY. Divergent Monetary Policy...
The analysis of USOIL (West Texas Intermediate) takes into account multiple factors influencing the current oil market. Geopolitical tensions: Growing tensions in Gaza and concerns about potential attacks from Iran in the Middle East are adding a risk premium to oil prices. These events could lead to disruptions in oil supply, increasing price volatility. Supply...
Recent trend in the price of gold: The price of gold has seen strong gains up to a historical peak reached on Monday. This suggests a bullish momentum in the short term. Factors influencing the price of gold: Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations: Expectations that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts are limiting further gains in gold. This could be due...
The pound started the week with a slight bullish tone against the US dollar. This increase was favored by a slightly weaker dollar, accompanied by a moderate risk appetite in the market. This scenario allowed the pair to extend its recovery from the lows recorded after the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, bringing it back towards the 1.2600 level. Positive...
The Australian dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6515, down 1.7%. The US consumer price index has accelerated for a second straight month. The March CPI rose 3.5%, up from 3.2% in February and above the market estimate of 3.4%. This was the highest inflation rate since September. On a monthly basis,...
The New Zealand dollar has posted considerable gains on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6065, up 0.54% and its highest level since March 21. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets early on Wednesday and it’s practically a given that it will hold the cash rate at 5.5%. This would mark the sixth straight time that the RBNZ maintains...
Must-know events for the trading week The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data. Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari...
Hey everyone!! Here I talk about USDCHF and give a little update on my Trade Idea "Last Leg To The Finish Line" Since it went over so well and continuing to follow suit, I wanted to do a Video Update on the idea to give a little insight on what I was seeing as the pair unfolded for the year and what I'm looking for in the near future!! Please let me know what...
The chart provided visually represents the forward guidance issued by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) alongside the performance of various key economic indicators and market indices. The FOMC forward guidance serves as a crucial tool for signaling the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance and future intentions, thereby influencing market expectations...
The KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...