Marsh & McLennan Companies has been in a bullish trend since 2009. It has been on a quicker and narrower bull trend since the beginning of 2016. On multiple occasions through this trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or higher levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in short-term losses for the stock. I have laid...
Tesoro Corporation has been in a relatively bullish trend since 2016. On multiple occasions through this trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at similar or higher levels, than they are now. These instances have resulted in short-term losses for the stock. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may drop while it most...
On May 5, 2017, the Wells Fargo & Company WFC 50 day moving average crossed below its 100 DMA. Historically this has occurred 61 times and the stock does not always continue to drop. It has a median loss of 4.438% and maximum loss of 23.427% over the following 24 trading days..
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI)...
The Energy Sector SPDR Fund XLE has been in a defined bearish trend for all of 2017. Due to this bearish movement, the 100 day moving average (DMA) is about to cross below the 150 DMA. This actual event has occurred 15 times in the history of the fund and has a minimal drop of 0.263%. It has a median drop of 2.067% and maximum drop of 38.054% over the following...
On April 21, 2017, the US Oil ETF ( USO ) 50 day moving average (DMA) crossed below the 200 DMA. Historically this has occurred 8 times and the stock has a minimal drop of 0.636% over the next 12 trading days. The fund has a median drop of 2.817% and a maximum drop of 27.553% over the next 12 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the...
On April 13, 2017, ConocoPhillips ( COP ) crossed below its 100 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 243 times and the stock does not always drop. It has a median loss of 3.997% and a maximum loss of 38.519% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 53.0188. RSI...
On March 30, 2017 Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) 20 day moving average (MA) crossed below its 50 day MA. Historically this has occurred 94 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to drop. It has a median gain of 3.775% and maximum gain of 52.802% over the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative...
On March 24, 2017 the Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR) 50 day moving average (MA) crossed below its 150 day. Historically this has occurred 14 times. When this happens, the stock drops a minimum of 3.057%, has a median drop of 6.215% and maximum drop of 30.567% over the next 14 trading days. This last occurred in August 2014. The stock dropped 24.08% over the next 24...
Historically when the vortex negative hits this level the stock drops at least 1.21% with an average drop around 13.57%. A drop around this average is possible, but DAL has not been trading at large enough daily spreads to make this likely in the next few weeks. A more conservative drop would be near the 47.56 mark which has been a pseudo support/resistance level.
Historically when VI reaches this level the LVS drops at least another 1%. The average drop is 13.13% with a minimum historical drop of 1.81%.
The support line in the current trend channel would equate to roughly a 6% drop over the next few weeks. I am conservatively forecasting a drop to the 52.45 level which is roughly 3.23% from the close on December 27.
Historically when LVS surpasses this RSI level, the stock drops at least one more percent over the next few weeks. In fact the minimal drop is 2.93% with an average drop of 6.17%. The bottom of the trend channel is well beyond the 6% but my conservative play is a drop to the 53 milestone which would net around 3% and most likely around 30% with a PUT...
For the second trading day in a row, another historical indicator points to continued decline for CRM. Historically when TSI breaks below this level, the stock drops at least 1.05%, with an average of 2.37%. There are two long term support trendlines and the nearest is around 65.30.
A conservative drop to around 65.75 within the next few weeks is my safer play....
Historically when the RSI for CRM hits this level, the stock drops at least 1%. The more likely figure is 4.82%. A conservative drop continues along one of the many trendlines. My play is a drop of around 3.83%.
This play could bring in 20-41% with perfectly placed PUTs.
Histotically, when the VI (negative) reaches this level, FB drops at least 0.74%. All trendlines have been busted and an actual bottom to this disaster is unknown. Some advertisers may be unwilling to play FB's game and the value of the stock could easily continue to suffer.
Once this VI level is breeched, the average drop is 4.82%. I have chosen a more...
Historically when RSI reaches this level, the stock continues to decline at least 1%. The average drop is 9.02% while the minimum move has been 1.47%. I anticipate this stock dropping at least 3.23% from the close of December 1.
This is a great opportunity to make 10-30% on PUT options.
