The 3 Hard Rules of Elliott Wave Theory and 3 Guidelines
Rule 1: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1
Rule 2: Wave 3 can never be the shortest of the three impulse waves.
Rule 3: Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1
Guideline 1: When Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave, Wave 5 will approximately equal Wave 1
Guideline 2: The forms for Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If Wave 2 is a sharp correction, Wave 4 will be a flat correction. If Wave 2 is flat, Wave 4 will be sharp.
Guideline 3: After a 5-wave impulse advance, corrections (abc) usually end in the area of prior Wave 4 low.
Using these rules and guidelines of Elliott Wave Theory we can make projections for Bitcoins advance or correction.
Rule 1: Wave 2 indeed did not retrace more than 100% of Wave 1
Rule 2: At present Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave of the initial two; pending Wave 5.
Rule 3: Wave 4 should therefore never touch 1198.801
Guideline 1: At present Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave. This suggests Wave 5 will be +/- 1050 points in length.
Guideline 2: As Wave 2 was a sharp correction this suggests Wave 4 will be a flat correction.
Guideline 3: The 5-wave impulse advance is not complete at present.
In the current form Wave 3 Fibonacci Extensions indicate price targets as follows:
161.80% - 1850.115
261.80% - 2918.541
Since August 2015 XBTUSD has followed an uptrending price channel religiously. With a lower bound test and bounce no less than 4 times.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index is showing 1W unconfirmed highs (losing momentum) whereas the 1M is overbought at 81.806 with a confirmed high (continuing momentum).
Over the course of the rally from August 2015 volume has increased consistently. This indicates an accelerated inflow of money into Bitcoin. The increasing volume either signals continual ignition of the trend or ending volume where the trend is moving parabolic and the end is soon.
Fundamentally, this rally may be fueled by the SEC's decision to revisit their Winklevoss ETF rejection. The approval or disapproval which may take place on or before May 15th, 2017.
www.cnbc.com/2017/04...voss-etf-review.html
In the near term I am bullish on XBTUSD with a price target of 1850.115. If this results in the end of Wave 3 then by the rules of Elliott Wave Theory the price of Bitcoin should not fall below 1198.801. I believe May 15th will be the key where we could see the old market adage of "Buy the rumour. Sell the news". Conversely the acceptance of a Bitcoin ETF opens up the entire U.S. financial market for further cash inflows, even for thos who do not fully understand what cryptocurrency is.
Rule 1: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1
Rule 2: Wave 3 can never be the shortest of the three impulse waves.
Rule 3: Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1
Guideline 1: When Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave, Wave 5 will approximately equal Wave 1
Guideline 2: The forms for Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If Wave 2 is a sharp correction, Wave 4 will be a flat correction. If Wave 2 is flat, Wave 4 will be sharp.
Guideline 3: After a 5-wave impulse advance, corrections (abc) usually end in the area of prior Wave 4 low.
Using these rules and guidelines of Elliott Wave Theory we can make projections for Bitcoins advance or correction.
Rule 1: Wave 2 indeed did not retrace more than 100% of Wave 1
Rule 2: At present Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave of the initial two; pending Wave 5.
Rule 3: Wave 4 should therefore never touch 1198.801
Guideline 1: At present Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave. This suggests Wave 5 will be +/- 1050 points in length.
Guideline 2: As Wave 2 was a sharp correction this suggests Wave 4 will be a flat correction.
Guideline 3: The 5-wave impulse advance is not complete at present.
In the current form Wave 3 Fibonacci Extensions indicate price targets as follows:
161.80% - 1850.115
261.80% - 2918.541
Since August 2015 XBTUSD has followed an uptrending price channel religiously. With a lower bound test and bounce no less than 4 times.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index is showing 1W unconfirmed highs (losing momentum) whereas the 1M is overbought at 81.806 with a confirmed high (continuing momentum).
Over the course of the rally from August 2015 volume has increased consistently. This indicates an accelerated inflow of money into Bitcoin. The increasing volume either signals continual ignition of the trend or ending volume where the trend is moving parabolic and the end is soon.
Fundamentally, this rally may be fueled by the SEC's decision to revisit their Winklevoss ETF rejection. The approval or disapproval which may take place on or before May 15th, 2017.
www.cnbc.com/2017/04...voss-etf-review.html
In the near term I am bullish on XBTUSD with a price target of 1850.115. If this results in the end of Wave 3 then by the rules of Elliott Wave Theory the price of Bitcoin should not fall below 1198.801. I believe May 15th will be the key where we could see the old market adage of "Buy the rumour. Sell the news". Conversely the acceptance of a Bitcoin ETF opens up the entire U.S. financial market for further cash inflows, even for thos who do not fully understand what cryptocurrency is.
Comment:
1850.115 Near term target reached. Lets see how we react at this level.
