HelenRush

Sounds like it’s time to sell AUD?

FX_IDC:USDAUD   U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar
AUDUSD got stuck around strong resistance 0.7980 failing to break it through during the last 5 days. This may signal the start of a bullish trend reversal. The only barrier on its way is USD weakness.
Today, Australian Dollar came under pressure of two factors – weaker than expected CPI and dovish comments of the RBA’s Lowe. Wehavealreadytalkedaboutitrecently. When a local currency appreciates inflation slows down, and it means there is no need to rush with further rate hikes.
Given the export and tourist activity of the country, Australia doesn’t need expensive currency. And this is what RBA chairman talked today. He said there is no sense to move in lock step with central banks that are hiking. Sounds like a hint on no tightening in the nearest future. Sounds like it’s time to sell AUD?
If the Fed shows hawkish tone tonight, AUDUSD may gather the pace of its depreciation with the nearest target at 0.7840 followed by 0.7800.
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