timwest
Short

Netflix Inc NFLX Daily - Overbought, rolling over. Retest $360?

NASDAQ:NFLX   NETFLIX INC
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7
Notice how NFLX has the last 3 earnings reports that center around the $360 level.

It looks as if NFLX could revisit the sub-360 level again in the next quarter. The strong close on Friday after the dip gives the chart a "stronger look" but the 430-440 level is strong resistance and therefore a low-risk level to establish shorts against. Sometimes trades can be established based on a definition of a low-risk entry level without a meaningful distance to a technical target. The current level of $426 here gives us $66 downside potential and $15 upside risk which seems decent at a 4.2:1 ratio, but when NFLX gets up to $435, then the ratio becomes a strong $75 downside and only $6 risk for a 12:1 ratio.

I don't know if I am right on this and I never know if I am right, but I know what trades I can take and what I can stomach and this setup is something that I am comfortable with. Although I LOVE my Netflix service and all of my kids do too, I'm not a bear on Netflix , but just thinking the chart is overbought here.

Tim 6/16/2014 10:09AM EST 425.72 last (It hit 426 when I was typing)
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Comments

Joined in the fun, shorted at 442 :)
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BIG lost ,sorry
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jmspriggs yaminalharbi
Oh ye of little faith
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i agree, i did not dig as deep as you did, your chart makes total since of this market, FIB lines up real close to your 360 level , i have it at 363, i believe it will take out the first retrace at 396, market conditions will determine the remainder. Nice chart- five stars ***** , as good as it gets.
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