Usually on 2nd/3rd attempt the price goes down. With negative divergence on / , i suspect the price will dive to long term trend support and fill the gap if a large slide happens. and RMI are on top as well giving downside potential. Note that previous 3-5% push had larger - last 4.5% push had less .
If goes below 31.71 i would say the trend change is confirmed with a price target of 29+, where i see a good buy zone should fundamentals stay in tact and no bad news coming out. Closing above 33 and breaking 34 would indicate a break of trend and would violate the idea, but i would expect it to happen on a huge and with a large push due to some positive news.