EUR/USD Long-Term Analysis: Monthly Market Breakdown & FxSignals

FX_IDC:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
In this analysis, we're taking on the Euro (EUR) versus the U.S. Dollar (USD) on a monthly perspective, applying fibonacci levels for high probability support and resistance zones, as well as major supply and demand areas & oscillator divergences between the rate of change and price action.

The conclusion of such an analysis is a current contention between seller activity in the .382 to .5 area & buyer activity in the .786 to .618 area. The long-term MA, previously carrying downwards momentum, is being attacked by the buyers since Jul '20 for the second time now, last time in Jan-Apr '18 with a seller half-win situation, where though they caused the price down, they weren't able to bring it to a lower bottom, thus emboldening buyers at the .618 to bring the price up, where it is right now (in a resistance at the .5).

Since there's no decisive action by either side as of yet, we are going to keep tracking the pair but not biased in either way for the short-term at least, even if for the medium to long-term the bias is slightly to the long side, considering the two oscillator divergences indicating a weakening of bearish sentiment, thus favouring the long side at the expense of the short side. We'll leave that for them to decide with their own money, and rather wait in the sidelines for a sharper edge against the market in a decisive countertrend move.

Wish you guys good trading and if you enjoy this analysis, please give me a like and share your ideas on the comments section, I'll really appreciate feedback from you guys and I promise to read and reply to each and every one of them as soon as possible.

An amazing week for all of you and until the next post! :)


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