Well there will probably be a sell off of bitcoin from miners as to cover the loss of rewards from blocks.
Bitcoin has been following this since the crash, potentially dipping through the halving and hitting the 0.382 or bounce off the golden from 2017.
The has ribbons are telling us that the hash rate is growing and is a good time to buy, however we do have the halving and some miners will leave.
I'm personally in a short, though would move to a long position after the dip I'm expecting.
If we do bounce off the channel and continue to grow, it could be possible. The fed are printing after all like crazy ;)
Let me know your thoughts and if you think my analysis needs any corrections.