ndthl

Bitcoin halving pattern: 1 year of growth, 3 of pain

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Takeaway: It takes a year for the halving to take effect in the form of a massive spike, shown by the blue horizontal year long bars on the chart. Then, the next 3 years until the following halving, there is a drop and gradual start to the next rally triggered by the upcoming halving. We are at the peak after the 2016 halving, there will be a big drop to 2020's halving.

Detail: I did a comprehensive chart of BTC on Trading View using BK's latest video as instructions. I have put 3 vertical lines in, one for each halving (2012-11-28 and 2016-07-09) and one for the upcoming soft fork on 2017-08-01. I have also put a number of trendlines on, intersecting every time the 7 and 21 day trend lines cross the 77 day trend line. The two purple ones predict exactly the value of the 7 and 21 day trend lines on 2017-06-26. They are from 77 day trendline crosses on 2014-11-30 and 2014-12-12.

The reason why I made the chart was to see the effect of the halvings. It's apparent the first one resulted in a rally shortly after. For the second one it's apparent there was a rally shortly before. The people buying BTC are still practicing?

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.