S&P 500 Index
Yesterday's FOMC meeting concluded with a decision to keep the monetary policy unchanged, leaving the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%. During the subsequent press conference, Jerome Powell outlined the solid state of the economy alongside heightened inflationary pressures. Notably, he disclosed plans to commence with the reduction in quantitative tightening...
This is a short-term outlook on the S&P500 (SPX) following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The short-term pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and is giving us some important developments. Even though yesterday's attempt to stay above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) failed, the index managed to stay on the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and is...
The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...
SPX500 went down sharply And the SPX is locally oversold So as we are already seeing a Bullish rebound from the Horizontal support level of 5015 A further move up is to be expected !
Economic events: USA - Initial Jobless Claims Eurozone - HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Apr) Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks U.S. equity markets saw a partial recovery subsequent to the Federal Reserve's choice to maintain interest rates at their current levels on Wednesday. Additionally, the Fed disclosed intentions to commence a gradual tapering of its balance...
SPX is heading to new all time high by May 21. Invalidated if breaks below Apr 19 low.
Last week, using oversold bounce, buyers attempted to regain control over the price. Their effort was somewhat successful, as they managed to establish both a higher low and a higher high on the daily chart. However, they failed to set a weekly low, which was a challenging task given the magnitude of the previous week's range. This indicates that bears still...
Trading Plan for Thursday, May 2nd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls holding a precarious position at a critical support level. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5048-50 (major - note that this trendline rises daily), 5032, 5028 (major) Major Supports: 5010 (major), 4968 (major), 4938-42 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5077-82...
Last time we looked at SPY (April 11, see chart below), we got what we wanted, a break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that met our exact bearish expectation which was a -5.93% decline, absolutely symmetrical with August 18 2023: As the subsequent rebound got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line on the chart above), the question is the following: Is...
This ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell,...
Economic events: USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr) USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr) USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar) USA - Crude Oil Inventories USA - FOMC Statement USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision USA - FOMC Press Conference On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline,...
Amazon announced its earnings for the first quarter of 2024 yesterday after the closing bell. The company reported net sales worth $143.3 billion, marking a 13% YoY increase, and net income of $10.4 billion, up 225% YoY. Operating income rose to $15.3 billion, representing a growth of 218% YoY, with the AWS segment contributing $9.4 billion to the figure and...
Logarithm. Large timeframe 1 week. On the chart a big bowl, you can say already with a handle, the price is testing the resistance of the previous market highs for the 3rd time (entering this zone). Breaking through it, this resistance will become a very strong support during the pumping (probability no more). Simplifying the complex is the key to...
SPX has possibly completed forming Waves A and B of a complex expanded flat correction, and may be near starting its Wave C. More likely this is the case should TVC:DXY continue up to and above 112-115. See related chart linked below under related ideas. Another possibility is a running flat correction where it turns back up near the 100% fib instead.
Reasons Why Apple’s Fiscal 2024 First Quarter Results: Apple reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, which ended on December 30, 2023. Here are the key highlights: Revenue: The company posted quarterly revenue of $119.6 billion, representing a 2 percent year-over-year increase. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Quarterly earnings per...
Everyone senses there is something coming, but nobody knows what it is. Regardless the markets will correct massively, technically because we haven't had a 0.61 fib correction in a decade, secondly because the bags are too heavy and everyone is bagholding, we need to shake those who call themselves diamond hands at +50% price discounts, i.e. cheaper...
there is a confluence of time and fib levels, the market will fall in 1-4 weeks. what will be the narrative ? idk , there is an Elliott wave count that says this is a major yearly high, but I don't want to believe it cause that would be catastrophic for the world, I hope it's just a pullback of 10-15%.
SP500 is on track and is following the idea i shared some days ago. I expect a continuation of the drop till the 4800-4900 area, and probably the target will be hit in May/June. Here i will look for longs to hold till Q4 2024. Updates will follow