Gasoline (RB1!) is on a 3-day bullish 1D candle run after testing and holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) this week for the first time since February 05. On the wider scale, this is the Bullish Leg of the 18-month Channel Down and it is approaching its top (Lower Highs trend-line). As you can see, the Bullish Legs of this pattern share a certain degree of...
Dear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed...
Dear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed...
Gasoline (RBOB1!) is staging a short-term rebound towards the top of the (dotted) Channel Up ahead of a 1D Golden Cross. The 18-month pattern is a Channel Down and last time we saw those technical dynamics was during the previous Bullish Wave/ Channel Up that peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (April 12 2023) exactly on the Golden Cross and then corrected...
Greetings Dear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have...
Dear Friends, I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various...
Dear FRIEND, I hope you're doing well and that the new year has started on a good note for you. I wish you success in your business endeavors and a happy new year with your loved ones. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it to be a valuable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal...
This idea beholds 6 of the largest Energy companies in the world. (Shell, Chevron, Exxon, BP, Duke, and OXY Petroleum.) These macro schematics have been crafted through meticulous Fibonacci techniques. I've laid every one on a 3 month timeframe starting at 1988. History buffs will understand the time reference to the rough "start" of Middle Eastern...
Hello there, I hope you're having a great start to the new year. I wish you all the best in your trading ventures and a happy new year with your loved ones. I'm a fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find interesting and useful for market analysis. I've developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering...
Hello! I am a big fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find very interesting and useful for market analysis. I have developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that could occur in the market. While I would like to share my analysis with you, please note that I am not providing a...
Gasoline (RB1!) has had a strong 3-day rise last week but that is still contained within the bearish barriers of a Channel Down. However during this whole pattern, the 1D RSI has been developing a Channel Up, hence a Bullish Divergence for the price. As a result, we will look to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for a break-out signal and if the price closes a 1D...
Americans could breathe a sigh of relief with gas prices set to be more affordable this year. US gas prices hit their highest 52 Weeks in August and September ahead of Labor Day, with the national average standing at $3.82 a gallon FRED:GASREGW , per AAA Gas Prices . Gasoline prices hit summertime levels in over a decade even as the driving season comes to a...
Ever dreamt of being an oil refiner? Fret not. You can operate a virtual refinery using a combination of energy derivatives that replicates oil refiner returns. Crude oil is the world’s most traded commodity. Oil consumption fuels the global economy. Crude is refined into gasoline and distillates. Refining is the process of cracking crude into its usable...
This week our eyes fall on the crude oil market. From our previous article, Cracking the Crack Spread , we know that crude oil and gasoline hold a special relationship. Since gasoline is extracted from crude oil, the spread between the two futures should not diverge too much. Yet, in the past few weeks, we have observed a deviation in their prices with the...
Gasoline (RB1!) is on a minor pull-back on the 1D chart, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1D RSI has been rebounding since the October 05 oversold bottom, something that has done the exact same way the previous two times on May 04 2023 and December 08 2022. Both of those fractals have (so far) similar structure...
This chart consists of USOIL, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Natural Gas, Palm Oil, and Rubber futures. Every one is tailored to a Fibonacci Layout. There are two sets of extensions. They interlap and work together. One must look for the support and resistance to verify its authenticity.
Gasoline is on a neutral 1D technical setting (RSI = 51.588, MACD = -0.026, ADX = 46.131) as it only crossed over the 1D MA50 on Monday. That was after a 3 week consolidation between the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200, which held and kept the price over the bottom of the long term Channel Up. We consider this breakout as the final confirmation of the new rally to the...
Good morning, I have traded this for the last 15 years, I am 14-1 on this trade, has a high probability of success. Time Frame is 8/2-8/19. The initial "crash and return to mean" is due to the seasonal demand consequence of the market. Low margin req, calender spreads would be a good option, I will let you figure out the set up as I can't give everything away....