Price has found support on previous resistance level as expected. This is also the 38.2% Retracement level from the low of Oct 15th and the high of Dec 5th. I am expecting price to enter the DAILY demand zone and 50% Fib level and rally up to top of trend line to test its strength. Oil seems to be dragging indices down and my expectation is that the Black Gold...
I am watching the MACD to cross positive and to enter as close to a Support area as possible.
Climactic widening of MACD spread and steepening of angle up/down can signal significant reversal is near: When blue line turns, look for a trade !!
RSI is above 70 (because this is a heavy index RSI usually stay in between 30 -70)+Kangaroo tail w/big wick after 10.5% advance+MACD near crossover. This price action tells me we might see some sort of correction to 17.340 level. This is by no means a "SHORT INDEXES" trade. Just a minor throwback before Dow Jones continues to climb higher
Trading near the channel and the neckline resistance, Short term trend is down and any recovery may face sell offs again. Yes there is short covering or fresh buying seen from lower levels but I feel with smaller stops this trade is worth taking a chance. Regards, SP CapitalTA
What do you guys think about this trend channel? Is the history repeating itself again?
From the effects of QE in the past, I want to prepare for the risk in "QE3-end" in the future. I understand that Falling Stock-Price and Rising Bonds has occurred after "QE-end". I want to pay attention to lower interest rates after "QE-end". However, Stock price rise thereafter. This is the key? but.. We are confronted at time of "rate hike", this is...
If buying is exhausted for now and profit takers and shorts push the price down this trade could pick up 20-30 points profit overnight.
If this is the Elliott 5th wave, and diagonal as it seen, then a long period of bearish trend is just begin. If it breaks the channel, the lower side of the channel will be seen in a very short time and it will be the first target (wave A)
DOW has peaked out and the down move has started. Based on Elliott Wave Analysis the ending diagonal has completed 5 moves after which a big correction is expected, giving the confirmation is the Candle stick signal patterns a Bearish Shooting star as well as Evening Star. Expect market to correct till 15500 as 1st Target and then beyond. Looking at Fibonacci...
On the one hand - we have the triple top, on the other hand - we are waiting for the end of the impulse and the breakout from consolidation. The market, as usual, will go its own way. thepatternsite.com thepatternsite.com
Here is my logic: 1. Fundamentals don't support record highs. High stock prices don't represent real economic activity. Unemployment. situation still not pre-crises levels yet prices are way above that. 2. Oil showing lack of demand. 3. US dollar becoming more expensive. End of low exchange rate. 4. China weakening as well as imports. 5. End of easy money and fed...
Of course, the projected future waves are pure speculation and I'm not expecting any patterns to repeat themselves exactly. There do exist, however, 7-year and 13-year cycles in the market that deserve consideration and further research, considering the similarities I believe to be showing quite clearly in this comparison. I have made an effort to simplify this...
Dow Jones, like the S&P, are destined to rise before the long-awaited correction. Judging by the volume of the past month or so, large bets have been placed on the long side. As for the past trading day, the large volume bar was a pseudo-indecision bar. I'll be on the sidelines for right now, as I would have entered at the completion of the Gartley that formed.
These projections are for comparison purposes only. Every next top has previous ones projected as colourful dotted lines.